Subiaco vs Floreat Athena Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Subiaco and 2.05 for Floreat Athena, a combined total of 3.45. That distribution gives Floreat Athena the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws roughly 48% of the time.

Model pick

Floreat Athena to Win

52.5% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.40 – 2.05

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Subiaco win26%

Draw21%

Floreat Athena win53%

Double chance 1X

47%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

74%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%

Over 2.5 goals67%

Over 3.5 goals45%

Both teams to score66%

Correct score

1–29.3%
1–19.1%
0–26.7%
2–26.5%
0–16.5%

Why the model likes this

Floreat Athena away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Floreat Athena to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 26% / 21% / 53% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.40 goals for Subiaco and 2.05 for Floreat Athena, a combined 3.45 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 67% and both teams to score at 66%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Subiaco

Floreat Athena

2026-08-15T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Mandurah City · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-08T06:00:00.000Z · H vs Cockburn City · 7-1 (W)
2026-08-01T06:30:00.000Z · H vs Kingsley Westside · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-25T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Subiaco · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-18T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Quinns FC · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.