Finland · Ykkönen · Group Stage15:30

30

Thursday, 11 June 2026

OLSDDWWD

Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass · Analysis updated 00:50 UTC

Tampere United vs OLS Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.03 expected goals for Tampere United and 1.02 for OLS, a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives Tampere United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws roughly 39% of the time.

Model pick

Tampere United to Win

60.7% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.03 – 1.02

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Tampere United win61%
Draw21%
OLS win18%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

39%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 2–110.0%
  • 1–19.8%
  • 2–09.8%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 3–16.7%

Why the model likes this

  • OLS away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Tampere United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 61% / 21% / 18% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.03 goals for Tampere United and 1.02 for OLS, a combined 3.05 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 59% and both teams to score at 56%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Tampere United

    OLS

    • 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Rops · 3-3 (D)
    • 2026-08-09T15:30:00.000Z · A vs FC jazz · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-08-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs TPV · 4-2 (W)
    • 2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs KPV-j · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-07-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs PKKU · 1-1 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Ykkönen table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Tampere United2012532641
    2Rops2010731737
    3OLS208751031
    4PKKU19865830
    5SalPa20866130
    6VJS19784929
    7FC jazz20857129
    8JJK19757626
    9TPV20569-921
    10Inter Turku II19559-1520
    11KPV-j193313-4012
    12KuPS Akatemia192512-1411

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.