Sweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · Norra Götaland - 917:00
TordDLWDL

12

Thursday, 21 May 2026

SkaraLWDWD

· Analysis updated 02:43 UTC

Tord vs Skara Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Tord and 1.91 for Skara, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Skara the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws roughly 44% of the time.

Model pick

Skara to Win

56.2% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.10 – 1.91

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Tord win22%
Draw22%
Skara win56%

Double chance 1X

44%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

78%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams to score57%

Correct score

  • 1–110.4%
  • 1–29.9%
  • 0–19.5%
  • 0–29.0%
  • 1–36.3%

Why the model likes this

  • Tord home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Skara to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 22% / 22% / 56% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.10 goals for Tord and 1.91 for Skara, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 58% and both teams to score at 57%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Tord

  • 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Motala · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Herrestads · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kumla · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ahlafors · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-06-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Kumla · 0-1 (L)

Skara

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Division 2 - Norra Götaland table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Husqvarna1714302845
    2Skara1711421537
    3IFK Skövde179441131
    4Ahlafors178631630
    5Grebbestad17926629
    6Stenungsund17746925
    7Herrestads17665-124
    8Motala17557020
    9Kumla17557-720
    10Vänersborgs FK16448-1116
    11Tord17197-1012
    12Lidköping163310-1812
    13IF Karlstad II162410-1310
    14Vänersborgs IF162311-259

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.