· Analysis updated 01:37 UTC
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Juarez U21 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.19 expected goals for UNAM Pumas U21 and 0.87 for Juarez U21, a combined total of 2.06. That distribution gives UNAM Pumas U21 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 34% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.
Model pick
UNAM Pumas U21 or Draw
73.1% probability
Expected goals
1.19 – 0.87
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–015.1%
- 1–113.2%
- 0–012.7%
- 0–111.1%
- 2–09.0%
Why the model likes this
Juarez U21 away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates UNAM Pumas U21 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 30% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.19 goals for UNAM Pumas U21 and 0.87 for Juarez U21, a combined 2.06 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 34% and both teams to score at 41%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.
Recent form
UNAM Pumas U21
Juarez U21
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Monterrey U21 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-31T14:30:00.000Z · H vs UNAM Pumas U21 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-17T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Puebla U21 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-10T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Guadalajara Chivas U21 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-08T01:30:00.000Z · H vs Guadalajara Chivas U21 · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga MX U21 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Monterrey U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Toluca U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Santos Laguna U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Club America U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Puebla U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Club Leon U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | UNAM Pumas U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Atlas U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Juarez U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Queretaro U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Atl. San Luis U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Pachuca U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Necaxa U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 17 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Atlante U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.