Cal.Delivery Stadium · Analysis updated 02:41 UTC
Warrington Town vs Workington Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.93 expected goals for Warrington Town and 0.78 for Workington, a combined total of 2.71. That distribution gives Warrington Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws roughly 36% of the time.
Model pick
Warrington Town to Win
64.4% probability
Expected goals
1.93 – 0.78
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
86%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
36%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–012.8%
- 2–012.4%
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.7%
- 3–08.0%
Why the model likes this
Warrington Town home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Warrington Town to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 64% / 21% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.93 goals for Warrington Town and 0.78 for Workington, a combined 2.71 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 51% and both teams to score at 46%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Recent form
Warrington Town
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Cleethorpes Town · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-11T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Hyde United · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Guiseley AFC · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Buxton · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-28T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Marine · 1-2 (L)
Workington
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Non League Premier - Northern table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| 2 | Warrington Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Bury | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Gainsborough Trinity | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Avro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Alfreton Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Ashton United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Whitby Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Ilkeston Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Redcar Athletic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Guiseley AFC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | AFC Emley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Hyde United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Rylands | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Curzon Ashton | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Lancaster City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Bamber Bridge | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 19 | Stockton Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 20 | Workington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 21 | Quorn | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.