England · Non League Premier - Northern · Regular Season - 4014:00

11

Saturday, 11 April 2026

Turnbull Ground · Analysis updated 02:58 UTC

Whitby Town vs Hyde United Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.47 expected goals for Whitby Town and 0.88 for Hyde United, a combined total of 2.34. That distribution gives Whitby Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws roughly 49% of the time.

Model pick

Whitby Town to Win

51.1% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.47 – 0.88

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Whitby Town win51%
Draw27%
Hyde United win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams to score45%

Correct score

  • 1–014.1%
  • 1–112.3%
  • 2–010.3%
  • 0–09.6%
  • 2–19.1%

Why the model likes this

  • Whitby Town home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Whitby Town to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 27% / 22% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.47 goals for Whitby Town and 0.88 for Hyde United, a combined 2.34 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 42% and both teams to score at 45%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.

Recent form

Whitby Town

  • 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ilkeston Town · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-11T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Guiseley AFC · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Leek Town · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-10T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Bridlington Town · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Cleethorpes Town · 0-0 (D)

Hyde United

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Non League Premier - Northern table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Cleethorpes Town321077
    2Warrington Town321047
    3Bury321027
    4Gainsborough Trinity320146
    5Avro320136
    6Alfreton Town320136
    7Ashton United320136
    8Whitby Town320116
    9Ilkeston Town320106
    10Redcar Athletic312015
    11Guiseley AFC311114
    12AFC Emley311104
    13Hyde United3111-24
    14Rylands310213
    15Curzon Ashton3102-13
    16Lancaster City3102-33
    17Bamber Bridge3102-63
    18Leek Town3021-12
    19Stockton Town3012-21
    20Workington3012-31
    21Quorn3012-61
    22United of Manchester3012-61

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.