Poland · Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 916:00

16:00 UTC

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana · Analysis updated 00:44 UTC

Wisla Krakow vs Slask Wroclaw Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.87 expected goals for Wisla Krakow and 1.32 for Slask Wroclaw, a combined total of 3.19. That distribution gives Wisla Krakow the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.

Model pick

Wisla Krakow to Win

50.5% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.87 – 1.32

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Wisla Krakow win51%
Draw23%
Slask Wroclaw win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 1–110.2%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–07.7%
  • 2–07.2%
  • 1–26.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Wisla Krakow home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Wisla Krakow to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 23% / 27% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.87 goals for Wisla Krakow and 1.32 for Slask Wroclaw, a combined 3.19 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 62%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Wisla Krakow

  • 2026-08-07T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Wisla Plock · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T12:45:00.000Z · A vs Piast Gliwice · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-07-26T18:15:00.000Z · H vs GKS Katowice · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-18T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Artis · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-07-12T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Podbeskidzie · 0-1 (L)

Slask Wroclaw

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Ekstraklasa table

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    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.