Zaglebie Lubin vs Miedz Legnica Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.67 expected goals for Zaglebie Lubin and 2.13 for Miedz Legnica, a combined total of 3.80. That distribution gives Miedz Legnica the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 52% of the time.

Model pick

Miedz Legnica to Win

48.4% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.67 – 2.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Zaglebie Lubin win31%

Draw21%

Miedz Legnica win48%

Double chance 1X

52%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

69%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals73%

Over 3.5 goals53%

Both teams to score72%

Correct score

1–28.5%
1–18.0%
2–27.1%
2–16.7%
1–36.0%

Why the model likes this

Zaglebie Lubin home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Miedz Legnica to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 31% / 21% / 48% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.67 goals for Zaglebie Lubin and 2.13 for Miedz Legnica, a combined 3.80 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 73% and both teams to score at 72%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Zaglebie Lubin

2026-08-15T12:45:00.000Z · H vs Slask Wroclaw · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-02T12:45:00.000Z · A vs Legia Warszawa · 1-3 (L)
2026-07-27T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Piast Gliwice · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-18T12:15:00.000Z · H vs Chrobry Głogów · 3-0 (W)
2026-07-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bohemians 1905 · 0-2 (L)

Miedz Legnica

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.