Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium · Analysis updated 03:49 UTC
Abha vs Al-Ettifaq Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.72 expected goals for Abha and 1.89 for Al-Ettifaq, a combined total of 3.61. That distribution gives Al-Ettifaq the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.
Model pick
Al-Ettifaq or Draw
64.4% probability
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.89
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.8%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–17.6%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–35.2%
Why the model likes this
Abha home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Al-Ettifaq to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 36% / 22% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.72 goals for Abha and 1.89 for Al-Ettifaq, a combined 3.61 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 70% and both teams to score at 70%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Recent form
Abha
- 2026-08-13T16:15:00.000Z · H vs Al-Hazm · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rizespor · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-19T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Sharjah FC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-13T14:50:00.000Z · A vs Al-Raed · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-05-09T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Al-Adalah · 0-1 (L)
Al-Ettifaq
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Nassr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Al-Ettifaq | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Al-Hazm | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | NEOM | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Al-Ittihad FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Al Kholood | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Al Taawon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Abha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Al-Fayha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Al Diriyah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Al Shabab | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Al-Fateh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.