Argentino Rosario vs Centro Español Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Argentino Rosario and 1.33 for Centro Español, a combined total of 2.34. That distribution gives Centro Español the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 41% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Centro Español or Draw

71.9% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

1.00 – 1.33

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Argentino Rosario win28%

Draw28%

Centro Español win44%

Double chance 1X

56%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

72%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals68%

Over 2.5 goals41%

Over 3.5 goals21%

Both teams to score47%

Correct score

1–112.9%
0–112.9%
1–09.7%
0–09.7%
1–28.6%

Why the model likes this

Centro Español away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Centro Español to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 28% / 28% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.00 goals for Argentino Rosario and 1.33 for Centro Español, a combined 2.34 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Recent form

Argentino Rosario

Centro Español

2026-08-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Berazategui · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-04T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Leones de Rosario · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-31T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Victoriano Arenas · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-25T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Lugano · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-12T17:00:00.000Z · A vs JJ Urquiza · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-05-04T18:30:00.000Z · Argentino Rosario 2-3 Centro Español (Primera C)
2025-07-28T18:30:00.000Z · Argentino Rosario 0-3 Centro Español (Primera C)
2025-04-14T18:30:00.000Z · Argentino Rosario 1-0 Centro Español (Primera C)
2024-09-14T18:00:00.000Z · Argentino Rosario 2-3 Centro Español (Primera C)
2024-04-17T18:30:00.000Z · Argentino Rosario 0-2 Centro Español (Primera C)
2023-11-07T18:30:00.000Z · Argentino Rosario 0-1 Centro Español (Primera D)
2023-07-23T18:30:00.000Z · Argentino Rosario 1-2 Centro Español (Primera D)
2023-03-25T18:30:00.000Z · Argentino Rosario 0-0 Centro Español (Primera D)
2022-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · Argentino Rosario 2-2 Centro Español (Primera D)
2022-06-25T18:30:00.000Z · Argentino Rosario 1-1 Centro Español (Primera D)

Primera C table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sacachispas	23	12	5	6	13	41
2	Estrella Del Sur	24	10	8	6	5	38
3	Berazategui	23	9	9	5	8	36
4	Lugano	23	9	9	5	7	36
5	Puerto Nuevo	24	8	11	5	0	35
6	Centro Español	23	9	7	7	8	34
7	Mercedes	23	8	9	6	9	33
8	Victoriano Arenas	24	7	11	6	4	32
9	Juventud Unida	22	7	8	7	3	29
10	Leandro N. Alem	23	7	6	10	-14	27
11	Defensores de Cambaceres	23	6	7	10	-7	25
12	Argentino Rosario	23	3	12	8	-6	21
13	JJ Urquiza	23	3	12	8	-10	21
14	Deportivo Paraguayo	23	4	8	11	-17	20
1	Lujan	23	12	6	5	13	42
2	Canuelas	24	10	9	5	8	39
3	Yupanqui	24	8	9	7	5	33
4	Deportivo Español	23	7	12	4	4	33
5	General Lamadrid	24	8	9	7	-3	33
6	Sportivo Barracas	22	9	4	9	4	31
7	Leones de Rosario	22	7	10	5	0	31
8	Central Cordoba	23	7	8	8	1	29
9	Atletico Atlas	23	7	8	8	-2	29
10	Central Ballester	23	7	5	11	-4	26
11	El Porvenir	23	4	14	5	-4	26
12	Fénix	23	6	7	10	-6	25
13	Deportivo Muñiz	22	4	10	8	-5	22
14	Claypole	23	5	7	11	-14	22

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.