England · U18 Premier League - South · South - 2511:00

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Saturday, 21 March 2026

Sobha Realty Training Centre · Analysis updated 01:49 UTC

Arsenal U18 vs Fulham U18 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.09 expected goals for Arsenal U18 and 2.10 for Fulham U18, a combined total of 4.19. That distribution gives Fulham U18 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.

Model pick

Fulham U18 or Draw

60.3% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.09 – 2.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Arsenal U18 win40%
Draw20%
Fulham U18 win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals79%
Over 3.5 goals60%
Both teams to score77%

Correct score

  • 2–27.3%
  • 1–27.0%
  • 2–17.0%
  • 1–16.7%
  • 2–35.1%

Why the model likes this

  • Arsenal U18 home form

    1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Fulham U18 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 20% / 40% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.09 goals for Arsenal U18 and 2.10 for Fulham U18, a combined 4.19 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 79% and both teams to score at 77%, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.

Recent form

Arsenal U18

  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs West Bromwich Albion U18 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-05-16T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Crystal Palace U18 · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-05-09T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Reading U18 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs West Ham United U18 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-02T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Leicester City U18 · 1-1 (D)

Fulham U18

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    U18 Premier League - South table

    Full league page →

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.