· Analysis updated 00:24 UTC
ASA Aarhus vs Ringsted Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.06 expected goals for ASA Aarhus and 0.91 for Ringsted, a combined total of 2.97. That distribution gives ASA Aarhus the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws roughly 36% of the time.
Model pick
ASA Aarhus to Win
63.9% probability
Expected goals
2.06 – 0.91
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
36%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–010.9%
- 1–010.6%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.6%
- 3–07.5%
Why the model likes this
Ringsted away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates ASA Aarhus to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 64% / 20% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.06 goals for ASA Aarhus and 0.91 for Ringsted, a combined 2.97 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 57% and both teams to score at 52%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Recent form
ASA Aarhus
Ringsted
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Holstebro · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Helsingor · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Frem · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs ASA Aarhus · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sundby · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holstebro | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Holbæk B&I | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | FC Helsingor | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | ASA Aarhus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Brønshøj | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | Vanløse | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Hørsholm-Usserød | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Næsby | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 | Frem | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Ishøj | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 11 | Ringsted | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 12 | Sundby | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.