Sweden · Ettan - Södra · Södra - 1814:00

14:00 UTC

Saturday, 22 August 2026

Kopparvallen · Analysis updated 02:56 UTC

Atvidabergs FF vs Angelholms FF Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.14 expected goals for Atvidabergs FF and 1.19 for Angelholms FF, a combined total of 3.33. That distribution gives Atvidabergs FF the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws roughly 41% of the time.

Model pick

Atvidabergs FF to Win

59.0% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.14 – 1.19

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Atvidabergs FF win59%
Draw21%
Angelholms FF win21%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams to score61%

Correct score

  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–19.1%
  • 2–08.2%
  • 1–07.7%
  • 3–17.0%

Why the model likes this

  • Angelholms FF away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Atvidabergs FF to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 21% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.14 goals for Atvidabergs FF and 1.19 for Angelholms FF, a combined 3.33 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 65% and both teams to score at 61%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Atvidabergs FF

    Angelholms FF

    • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Trollhättan · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Kristianstad · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · H vs AFC Malmo · 2-2 (D)
    • 2026-06-27T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Trollhättan · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-06-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Astrio · 3-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Ettan - Södra table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Trelleborg1610602236
    2Hässleholms IF179351230
    3AFC Malmo178541129
    4Atvidabergs FF168531129
    5Lund17773728
    6Rosengård16754626
    7Tvååker17746-225
    8Olympic17728-223
    9Jonkopings Sodra17647522
    10Eskilsminne16637-321
    11Trollhättan17476-719
    12Angelholms FF17386-217
    13Laholm175210-817
    14Kristianstad17458-817
    15Skövde AIK16385-1117
    16Utsikten161213-315

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.