Bahia W vs Corinthians W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.49 expected goals for Bahia W and 2.03 for Corinthians W, a combined total of 3.51. That distribution gives Corinthians W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.

Model pick

Corinthians W to Win

50.2% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.49 – 2.03

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Bahia W win28%

Draw22%

Corinthians W win50%

Double chance 1X

50%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

72%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Over 3.5 goals47%

Both teams to score67%

Correct score

1–29.1%
1–19.0%
2–26.8%
2–16.7%
1–36.1%

Why the model likes this

Corinthians W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Corinthians W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 28% / 22% / 50% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.49 goals for Bahia W and 2.03 for Corinthians W, a combined 3.51 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 68% and both teams to score at 67%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Bahia W

Corinthians W

2026-08-09T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Santos W · 4-1 (W)
2026-08-03T21:30:00.000Z · A vs Flamengo W · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Vitória BA W · 4-0 (W)
2026-05-26T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Mixto W · 4-1 (W)
2026-05-19T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Cruzeiro W · 2-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Brasileiro Women table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Corinthians W	15	12	1	2	26	37
2	São Paulo W	15	11	2	2	15	35
3	Palmeiras W	15	9	5	1	18	32
4	Bahia W	15	8	3	4	9	27
5	Ferroviaria W	15	7	6	2	8	27
6	Fluminense W	16	7	4	5	4	25
7	Gremio W	16	7	3	6	6	24
8	Internacional RS W	15	7	3	5	3	24
9	Cruzeiro W	15	6	6	3	10	24
10	Flamengo W	15	6	6	3	5	24
11	RB Bragantino W	15	6	2	7	-1	20
12	Santos W	15	5	5	5	-1	20
13	Atlético Mineiro W	16	4	4	8	-5	16
14	Mixto W	15	2	6	7	-15	12
15	Juventude W	15	2	4	9	-10	10
16	America Mineiro W	16	1	4	11	-24	7
17	Vitória BA W	15	1	4	10	-25	7
18	Botafogo W	15	1	2	12	-23	5

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.