Bangu U20 vs Botafogo U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.75 expected goals for Bangu U20 and 1.00 for Botafogo U20, a combined total of 1.75. That distribution gives Botafogo U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 33%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 26% for over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.

Model pick

Botafogo U20 or Draw

73.5% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

0.75 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Bangu U20 win27%

Draw33%

Botafogo U20 win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

67%

Double chance X2

74%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals52%

Over 2.5 goals26%

Over 3.5 goals10%

Both teams to score33%

Correct score

0–017.4%
0–117.4%
1–013.0%
1–113.0%
0–28.7%

Why the model likes this

Bangu U20 home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Botafogo U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 27% / 33% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.75 goals for Bangu U20 and 1.00 for Botafogo U20, a combined 1.75 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 26% and both teams to score at 33%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%.

Recent form

Bangu U20

2026-08-15T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Volta Redonda U20 · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-11T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Sampaio Correa FE U20 · 1-2 (L)
2026-04-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs América RJ U20 · 2-4 (L)
2026-04-11T18:30:00.000Z · H vs América RJ U20 · 1-2 (L)
2026-04-04T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Volta Redonda U20 · 2-0 (W)

Botafogo U20

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.