Brazil · Carioca U20 · Regular Season - 513:00

13:00 UTC

Saturday, 5 September 2026

· Analysis updated 01:51 UTC

Bangu U20 vs Flamengo U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.75 expected goals for Bangu U20 and 2.00 for Flamengo U20, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Flamengo U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws roughly 33% of the time.

Model pick

Flamengo U20 to Win

66.7% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

0.75 – 2.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Bangu U20 win13%
Draw20%
Flamengo U20 win67%

Double chance 1X

33%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

87%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score46%

Correct score

  • 0–112.8%
  • 0–212.8%
  • 1–19.6%
  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–38.5%

Why the model likes this

  • Bangu U20 home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Flamengo U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 13% / 20% / 67% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.75 goals for Bangu U20 and 2.00 for Flamengo U20, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 46%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Bangu U20

  • 2026-08-15T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Volta Redonda U20 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-11T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Sampaio Correa FE U20 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-04-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs América RJ U20 · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-04-11T18:30:00.000Z · H vs América RJ U20 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-04-04T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Volta Redonda U20 · 2-0 (W)

Flamengo U20

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.