Holker Street · Analysis updated 00:26 UTC
Barrow vs Yeovil Town Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.23 expected goals for Barrow and 1.37 for Yeovil Town, a combined total of 2.60. That distribution gives Yeovil Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.
Model pick
Yeovil Town or Draw
66.3% probability
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.37
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.5%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–09.2%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.7%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Yeovil Town to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 34% / 26% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.23 goals for Barrow and 1.37 for Yeovil Town, a combined 2.60 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 48% and both teams to score at 53%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Model confidence
Yeovil Town or Draw is the headline pick at 66% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Barrow
Yeovil Town
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.