· Analysis updated 01:31 UTC
Bílovec vs Stonava Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.64 expected goals for Bílovec and 1.22 for Stonava, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives Bílovec the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.
Model pick
Bílovec to Win
47.1% probability
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.22
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
53%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.5%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.7%
- 0–17.0%
Why the model likes this
Stonava away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bílovec to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 24% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.64 goals for Bílovec and 1.22 for Stonava, a combined 2.85 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 57%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Recent form
Bílovec
Stonava
- 2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Kravare · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Nový Jičín · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Polanka nad Odrou · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-06-12T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Havířov · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Petřvald na Moravě · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie F table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kravare | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Nový Jičín | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Šumperk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Pustá Polom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Bospor Bohumín | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Zabreh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Jiskra Rýmařov | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Hlučín | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Bílovec | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Opava II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Stonava | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Valašské Meziříčí | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | Frydek-Mistek B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Vratimov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Břidličná | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Frýdlant | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.