Stavollen kunstgress · Analysis updated 04:36 UTC
Bjarg vs Eik-Tønsberg Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.71 expected goals for Bjarg and 1.08 for Eik-Tønsberg, a combined total of 3.79. That distribution gives Bjarg the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws roughly 28% of the time.
Model pick
Bjarg to Win
71.8% probability
Expected goals
2.71 – 1.08
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
87%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
28%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.0%
- 2–08.3%
- 3–18.1%
- 3–07.5%
- 1–16.6%
Why the model likes this
Eik-Tønsberg away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bjarg to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 72% / 16% / 13% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.71 goals for Bjarg and 1.08 for Eik-Tønsberg, a combined 3.79 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 73% and both teams to score at 61%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Recent form
Bjarg
Eik-Tønsberg
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mjondalen · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Træff · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Vidar · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandviken · 5-6 (L)
- 2026-06-27T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Træff · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-30T11:00:00.000Z · Bjarg 2-0 Eik-Tønsberg (2. Division - Group 1)
2. Division - Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jerv | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 35 |
| 2 | Brattvåg | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 32 |
| 3 | Mjondalen | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Kvik Halden | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 30 |
| 5 | Notodden | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Træff | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 25 |
| 7 | Bjarg | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 25 |
| 8 | Sotra | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | Arendal | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 20 |
| 10 | Pors Grenland | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Sandviken | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -12 | 14 |
| 12 | Lysekloster | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -14 | 14 |
| 13 | Vidar | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | -30 | 6 |
| 14 | Eik-Tønsberg | 16 | 1 | 1 | 14 | -22 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.