Jose Americo de Almeida Filho · Referee E. Rodrigues · Analysis updated 02:38 UTC
Botafogo PB vs Maringá Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.06 expected goals for Botafogo PB and 1.40 for Maringá, a combined total of 3.46. That distribution gives Botafogo PB the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws roughly 47% of the time.
Model pick
Botafogo PB to Win
52.8% probability
Expected goals
2.06 – 1.40
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
47%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.3%
- 1–19.1%
- 2–06.7%
- 2–26.5%
- 1–06.5%
Why the model likes this
Botafogo PB home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Botafogo PB to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 21% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.06 goals for Botafogo PB and 1.40 for Maringá, a combined 3.46 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 67% and both teams to score at 66%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Recent form
Botafogo PB
- 2026-08-15T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Amazonas · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-08T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Santa Cruz · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-26T21:30:00.000Z · A vs Caxias · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-12T22:30:00.000Z · H vs Confiança · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-06T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Anápolis · 2-0 (W)
Maringá
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Serie C table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brusque | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 30 |
| 2 | Inter De Limeira | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 28 |
| 3 | Botafogo PB | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 27 |
| 4 | Paysandu | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 26 |
| 5 | Guarani Campinas | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Ypiranga-RS | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 24 |
| 8 | Amazonas | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 24 |
| 9 | Caxias | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 |
| 10 | Ferroviária | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 24 |
| 11 | Maranhão | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Maringá | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 23 |
| 13 | Ituano | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 22 |
| 14 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -9 | 21 |
| 15 | Floresta | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 16 | Figueirense | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -5 | 21 |
| 17 | AO Itabaiana | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 | Anápolis | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -5 | 15 |
| 19 | Barra | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -2 | 15 |
| 20 | Confiança | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 12 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.