Botafogo PB vs Volta Redonda Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.56 expected goals for Botafogo PB and 0.70 for Volta Redonda, a combined total of 2.26. That distribution gives Botafogo PB the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 39% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws roughly 42% of the time.

Model pick

Botafogo PB to Win

58.0% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.56 – 0.70

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Botafogo PB win58%

Draw25%

Volta Redonda win17%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

42%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals66%

Over 2.5 goals39%

Over 3.5 goals19%

Both teams to score40%

Correct score

1–016.2%
2–012.7%
1–111.4%
0–010.4%
2–18.9%

Why the model likes this

Botafogo PB home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Botafogo PB to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 25% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.56 goals for Botafogo PB and 0.70 for Volta Redonda, a combined 2.26 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 39% and both teams to score at 40%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%.

Recent form

Botafogo PB

2026-08-08T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Santa Cruz · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-26T21:30:00.000Z · A vs Caxias · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-12T22:30:00.000Z · H vs Confiança · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-06T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Anápolis · 2-0 (W)
2026-06-30T23:30:00.000Z · H vs Brusque · 2-0 (W)

Volta Redonda

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Serie C table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Inter De Limeira	16	8	4	4	3	28
2	Botafogo PB	17	8	3	6	5	27
3	Brusque	16	8	3	5	5	27
4	Paysandu	16	8	2	6	3	26
5	Guarani Campinas	16	7	5	4	12	26
6	Santa Cruz	16	7	4	5	4	25
7	Ypiranga-RS	16	7	3	6	2	24
8	Amazonas	17	7	3	7	-2	24
9	Caxias	16	6	6	4	4	24
10	Ferroviária	16	6	6	4	3	24
11	Maringá	16	6	5	5	0	23
12	Ituano	17	6	4	7	0	22
13	Volta Redonda	17	6	3	8	-9	21
14	Floresta	16	5	6	5	-2	21
15	Maranhão	16	5	6	5	-2	21
16	Figueirense	16	5	6	5	-5	21
17	AO Itabaiana	16	4	5	7	-7	17
18	Anápolis	16	4	3	9	-5	15
19	Barra	16	3	6	7	-2	15
20	Confiança	16	3	3	10	-7	12

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.