Sweden · Damallsvenskan · Regular Season - 512:00

01

Saturday, 9 May 2026

Grimsta IP · Referee S. Borck-Janeheim · Analysis updated 03:52 UTC

Brommapojkarna W vs Eskilstuna United W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.21 expected goals for Brommapojkarna W and 1.19 for Eskilstuna United W, a combined total of 2.40. That distribution gives Brommapojkarna W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 36%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 43% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 36% favourite still loses or draws roughly 64% of the time.

Model pick

Brommapojkarna W or Draw

64.1% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.21 – 1.19

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Brommapojkarna W win36%
Draw28%
Eskilstuna United W win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

64%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Both teams to score49%

Correct score

  • 1–113.1%
  • 1–010.9%
  • 0–110.8%
  • 0–09.1%
  • 2–17.9%

Why the model likes this

  • Brommapojkarna W home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Brommapojkarna W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 36%, against 36% / 28% / 36% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.21 goals for Brommapojkarna W and 1.19 for Eskilstuna United W, a combined 2.40 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 43% and both teams to score at 49%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Brommapojkarna W

  • 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Häcken W · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs AIK W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Djurgården W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-06-24T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Växjö W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-06-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vittsjö W · 1-2 (L)

Eskilstuna United W

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Damallsvenskan table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Häcken W1413013139
    2Hammarby W1311112534
    3Malmö FF W147431925
    4AIK W14734124
    5Eskilstuna United W14725-523
    6Vittsjö W14635021
    7Kristianstad W13535-318
    8Piteå W13436-515
    9Brommapojkarna W14509-1315
    10Växjö W14428-614
    11Djurgården W14428-614
    12Norrköping W13265-312
    13Rosengård W14248-510
    14Uppsala W141310-306

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.