Stadionul Francisc von Neuman · Referee Horatiu Fesnic, Romania · Analysis updated 02:53 UTC
Corvinul Hunedoara vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.82 expected goals for Corvinul Hunedoara and 0.61 for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, a combined total of 1.43. That distribution gives Corvinul Hunedoara the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 38%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 17% for over 2.5 goals and 26% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 24%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws roughly 62% of the time.
Model pick
Corvinul Hunedoara or Draw
75.2% probability
Expected goals
0.82 – 0.61
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
63%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–023.9%
- 1–019.7%
- 0–114.5%
- 1–112.0%
- 2–08.1%
Why the model likes this
Corvinul Hunedoara home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 5 meetings.
Recent form
Corvinul Hunedoara
- 2026-08-10T15:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Botosani · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-02T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-25T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanta · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-20T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Csikszereda · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-07-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Koper · 0-1 (L)
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- 2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Csikszereda · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-10T18:30:00.000Z · H vs FCSB · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-02T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Corvinul Hunedoara · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Universitatea Cluj · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-20T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Rapid · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-02T15:30:00.000Z · Corvinul Hunedoara 1-1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe (Liga I)
- 2026-05-02T09:30:00.000Z · Corvinul Hunedoara 1-2 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe (Liga II)
- 2026-04-04T09:30:00.000Z · Corvinul Hunedoara 0-1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe (Liga II)
- 2025-08-18T14:00:00.000Z · Corvinul Hunedoara 2-0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe (Liga II)
- 2023-10-31T13:00:00.000Z · Corvinul Hunedoara 1-0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe (Cupa României)
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Arges Pitesti | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 4 | FCSB | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Farul Constanta | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Rapid | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Universitatea Craiova | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Universitatea Cluj | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Oţelul | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | FC Voluntari | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -9 | 4 |
| 13 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | FC Botosani | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Uta Arad | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.