Cruzeiro U20 vs Vasco da Gama U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.42 expected goals for Cruzeiro U20 and 1.55 for Vasco da Gama U20, a combined total of 2.98. That distribution gives Vasco da Gama U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.

Model pick

Vasco da Gama U20 or Draw

65.1% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.55

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Cruzeiro U20 win35%

Draw24%

Vasco da Gama U20 win41%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals57%

Over 3.5 goals35%

Both teams to score60%

Correct score

1–111.3%
1–28.7%
2–18.0%
0–17.9%
1–07.3%

Why the model likes this

Cruzeiro U20 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vasco da Gama U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 35% / 24% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.42 goals for Cruzeiro U20 and 1.55 for Vasco da Gama U20, a combined 2.98 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 57% and both teams to score at 60%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Cruzeiro U20

2026-08-15T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Nacional de Muriae U20 · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-07T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Itabirito U20 · 3-3 (D)
2026-07-31T18:00:00.000Z · H vs América Mineiro U20 · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-26T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Paranoa U20 · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Atlético Mineiro U20 · 0-0 (D)

Vasco da Gama U20

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Brasileiro U20 A table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras U20	19	13	5	1	31	44
2	Vasco da Gama U20	19	11	3	5	17	36
3	Botafogo U20	19	11	3	5	12	36
4	RB Bragantino U20	19	10	4	5	14	34
5	Athletico PR U20	19	9	5	5	14	32
6	Santos U20	19	9	4	6	5	31
7	Cruzeiro U20	19	8	5	6	8	29
8	Corinthians U20	19	8	5	6	6	29
9	Bahia U20	19	8	5	6	2	29
10	Flamengo U20	19	7	7	5	-1	28
11	São Paulo U20	19	6	7	6	1	25
12	América Mineiro U20	19	6	7	6	-12	25
13	Cuiabá U20	19	6	3	10	-8	21
14	Vitória U20	19	5	5	9	-11	20
15	Fluminense U20	19	5	4	10	-6	19
16	Grêmio U20	19	6	1	12	-11	19
17	Juventude U20	19	5	3	11	-19	18
18	Criciuma U20	19	5	2	12	-16	17
19	Avaí U20	19	3	7	9	-19	16
20	Fortaleza U20	19	2	9	8	-7	15

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.