Tannadice Park · Referee S. McLean · Analysis updated 01:47 UTC
Dundee Utd vs Celtic Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.91 expected goals for Dundee Utd and 1.84 for Celtic, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Celtic the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws roughly 41% of the time.
Model pick
Celtic to Win
59.3% probability
Expected goals
0.91 – 1.84
Model version
poisson-market-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
41%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
82%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–111.8%
- 0–210.8%
- 1–110.7%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–36.6%
Why the model likes this
Celtic away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Celtic to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 18% / 23% / 59% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.91 goals for Dundee Utd and 1.84 for Celtic, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 50%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Odds comparison
Indicative prices for the main markets.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Home | 5.25 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Draw | 3.80 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Away | 1.55 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 1.25 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | 3.65 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.77 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.95 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 2.95 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | 1.36 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | Yes | 1.77 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | No | 1.85 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Draw | 2.30 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Away | 1.18 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Draw/Away | 1.09 | 10Bet |
Recent form
Dundee Utd
Celtic
- 2026-08-15T16:45:00.000Z · A vs Dundee Utd · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-09T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Kilmarnock · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-08-03T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Dundee · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs AC Milan · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Middlesbrough · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.