DVS 33 Ermelo vs Harkemase Boys Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for DVS 33 Ermelo and 2.00 for Harkemase Boys, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Harkemase Boys the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws roughly 39% of the time.

Model pick

Harkemase Boys to Win

60.6% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.00 – 2.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

DVS 33 Ermelo win18%

Draw21%

Harkemase Boys win61%

Double chance 1X

40%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

82%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Over 3.5 goals35%

Both teams to score55%

Correct score

0–110.0%
0–210.0%
1–110.0%
1–210.0%
0–36.6%

Why the model likes this

DVS 33 Ermelo home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Harkemase Boys to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 18% / 21% / 61% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.00 goals for DVS 33 Ermelo and 2.00 for Harkemase Boys, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 58% and both teams to score at 55%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

DVS 33 Ermelo

2026-08-15T12:30:00.000Z · A vs SC Genemuiden · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-08T12:30:00.000Z · A vs GVVV Veenendaal · 0-3 (L)
2026-05-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Rijnvogels · 2-2 (D)
2026-05-27T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Rijnvogels · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-23T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Huizen · 1-0 (W)

Harkemase Boys

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.