Elfsborg W vs Göteborg W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.61 expected goals for Elfsborg W and 0.79 for Göteborg W, a combined total of 2.40. That distribution gives Elfsborg W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 43% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws roughly 43% of the time.

Model pick

Elfsborg W to Win

56.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.61 – 0.79

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Elfsborg W win57%

Draw25%

Göteborg W win18%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

43%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals69%

Over 2.5 goals43%

Over 3.5 goals22%

Both teams to score44%

Correct score

1–014.6%
2–011.7%
1–111.5%
2–19.3%
0–09.0%

Why the model likes this

Göteborg W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Elfsborg W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 25% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.61 goals for Elfsborg W and 0.79 for Göteborg W, a combined 2.40 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 43% and both teams to score at 44%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.

Recent form

Elfsborg W

Göteborg W

2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandviken W · 6-0 (W)
2026-08-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Uddevalla W · 5-0 (W)
2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs KIF Örebro W · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Umeå W · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Husqvarna W · 4-4 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Elitettan table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Elfsborg W	14	10	4	0	26	34
2	Linköping W	14	10	3	1	15	33
3	Göteborg W	14	9	4	1	23	31
4	KIF Örebro W	14	10	1	3	11	31
5	Umeå W	14	6	3	5	4	21
6	Trelleborg W	13	6	3	4	2	21
7	Enskede W	14	5	3	6	-2	18
8	Örebro SK W	14	5	3	6	-3	18
9	Jitex W	14	5	3	6	-4	18
10	Husqvarna W	14	4	4	6	-5	16
11	Alingsås W	14	2	5	7	-10	11
12	Gamla Upsala W	13	2	4	7	-9	10
13	Sandviken W	14	1	3	10	-28	6
14	Häcken II W	14	0	1	13	-20	1

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.