Energie Cottbus vs Altglienicke Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Energie Cottbus and 1.18 for Altglienicke, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Energie Cottbus the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Energie Cottbus or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Energie Cottbus win44%

Draw26%

Altglienicke win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Altglienicke away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 9 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Energie Cottbus to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Energie Cottbus and 1.18 for Altglienicke, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Energie Cottbus

Altglienicke

2026-08-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha BSC II · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Greifswalder FC · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs SV Babelsberg 03 · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-25T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Erzgebirge Aue · 3-3 (D)
2026-07-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs RB Leipzig · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-07-03T16:00:00.000Z · Energie Cottbus 1-1 Altglienicke (Friendlies Clubs)
2026-01-07T12:00:00.000Z · Energie Cottbus 2-2 Altglienicke (Friendlies Clubs)
2024-07-06T13:00:00.000Z · Energie Cottbus 2-0 Altglienicke (Friendlies Clubs)
2024-03-09T12:00:00.000Z · Energie Cottbus 0-0 Altglienicke (Regionalliga - Nordost)
2023-09-24T11:00:00.000Z · Energie Cottbus 2-1 Altglienicke (Regionalliga - Nordost)
2023-01-28T12:00:00.000Z · Energie Cottbus 0-2 Altglienicke (Regionalliga - Nordost)
2022-08-05T17:00:00.000Z · Energie Cottbus 0-2 Altglienicke (Regionalliga - Nordost)
2022-03-06T12:00:00.000Z · Energie Cottbus 0-3 Altglienicke (Regionalliga - Nordost)
2021-09-01T17:00:00.000Z · Energie Cottbus 0-3 Altglienicke (Regionalliga - Nordost)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.