Baza Sportiva FC Bacau · Analysis updated 03:49 UTC
FC Bacau vs CS Afumati Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.39 expected goals for FC Bacau and 1.13 for CS Afumati, a combined total of 3.52. That distribution gives FC Bacau the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws roughly 35% of the time.
Model pick
FC Bacau to Win
65.2% probability
Expected goals
2.39 – 1.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
35%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.5%
- 1–18.0%
- 3–17.6%
- 1–07.1%
Why the model likes this
CS Afumati away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Bacau to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 18% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.39 goals for FC Bacau and 1.13 for CS Afumati, a combined 3.52 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 68% and both teams to score at 61%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Recent form
FC Bacau
CS Afumati
- 2026-08-15T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Chindia Targoviste · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-12T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Dunarea Calarasi · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Metalul Buzău · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-01T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CS Dinamo București · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-11T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti · 5-4 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga II table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slatina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Concordia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | CSM Reşiţa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Metalul Buzău | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Chindia Targoviste | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Gloria Bistriţa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Cetatea Suceava | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Popești-Leordeni | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Metaloglobus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | FC Bacau | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | CS Afumati | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 | Ştefăneşti | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Dumbrăviţa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Bihor Oradea | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | ASA Targu Mures | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | CSM Satu Mare | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Unirea Slobozia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 21 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | CS Dinamo București | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.