FC Lisse vs Rijnvogels Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for FC Lisse and 1.07 for Rijnvogels, a combined total of 2.65. That distribution gives FC Lisse the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.

Model pick

FC Lisse to Win

49.1% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.07

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

FC Lisse win49%

Draw25%

Rijnvogels win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score52%

Correct score

1–111.9%
1–011.1%
2–19.4%
2–08.8%
0–17.6%

Why the model likes this

Rijnvogels away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Lisse to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 25% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.58 goals for FC Lisse and 1.07 for Rijnvogels, a combined 2.65 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 52%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

FC Lisse

Rijnvogels

2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Gemert · 2-2 (D)
2026-06-06T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Excelsior Maassluis · 1-2 (L)
2026-06-03T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Excelsior Maassluis · 2-1 (W)
2026-05-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs DVS 33 Ermelo · 2-2 (D)
2026-05-27T18:00:00.000Z · H vs DVS 33 Ermelo · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Derde Divisie - Sunday table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kloetinge	34	22	7	5	25	73
2	FC Lisse	34	20	8	6	34	68
3	Vvsb	34	21	5	8	33	68
4	Rijnvogels	34	19	7	8	24	64
5	Gemert	34	17	10	7	25	61
6	Roosendaal	34	15	9	10	13	54
7	TOGB	34	15	8	11	3	53
8	Zwaluwen	34	15	6	13	13	51
9	Blauw Geel	34	14	6	14	2	48
10	Noordwijk	34	12	8	14	5	44
11	UDI '19	34	11	6	17	-17	39
12	UNA	34	10	8	16	-8	38
13	GOES	34	10	7	17	-18	37
14	Groene Ster	34	10	6	18	-19	36
15	SteDoCo	34	10	4	20	-34	34
16	SVV Scheveningen	34	9	5	20	-16	32
17	Meerssen	34	8	7	19	-23	31
18	ASWH	34	6	7	21	-42	25

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.