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Saturday, 4 July 2026

· Analysis updated 02:41 UTC

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Hannover 96 II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.45 expected goals for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt and 3.38 for Hannover 96 II, a combined total of 5.83. That distribution gives Hannover 96 II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 92% for over 2.5 goals and 87% for both teams to score, with 2–3 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws roughly 44% of the time.

Model pick

Hannover 96 II to Win

56.4% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.45 – 3.38

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win28%
Draw16%
Hannover 96 II win56%

Double chance 1X

44%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

72%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals97%
Over 2.5 goals92%
Over 3.5 goals82%
Both teams to score87%

Correct score

  • 2–35.7%
  • 2–25.0%
  • 2–44.8%
  • 3–34.6%
  • 1–34.6%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hannover 96 II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 28% / 16% / 56% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.45 goals for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt and 3.38 for Hannover 96 II, a combined 5.83 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 92% and both teams to score at 87%, with 2–3 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.

  • Model confidence

    Hannover 96 II to Win is the headline pick at 56% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt

    Hannover 96 II

    • 2026-08-12T17:30:00.000Z · A vs SV Drochtersen/Assel · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-08-07T16:30:00.000Z · H vs HSC Hannover · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-08-01T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Bremer SV · 3-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Havelse · 3-1 (W)
    • 2026-07-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiedenbrück · 0-1 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.