· Analysis updated 02:41 UTC
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Hannover 96 II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.45 expected goals for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt and 3.38 for Hannover 96 II, a combined total of 5.83. That distribution gives Hannover 96 II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 92% for over 2.5 goals and 87% for both teams to score, with 2–3 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws roughly 44% of the time.
Model pick
Hannover 96 II to Win
56.4% probability
Expected goals
2.45 – 3.38
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
44%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
72%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–35.7%
- 2–25.0%
- 2–44.8%
- 3–34.6%
- 1–34.6%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hannover 96 II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 28% / 16% / 56% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.45 goals for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt and 3.38 for Hannover 96 II, a combined 5.83 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 92% and both teams to score at 87%, with 2–3 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.
Model confidence
Hannover 96 II to Win is the headline pick at 56% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
Hannover 96 II
- 2026-08-12T17:30:00.000Z · A vs SV Drochtersen/Assel · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-07T16:30:00.000Z · H vs HSC Hannover · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Bremer SV · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Havelse · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-07-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiedenbrück · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.