Stadion Rajko Mit · Analysis updated 04:59 UTC
FK Crvena Zvezda vs FK Partizan Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.45 expected goals for FK Crvena Zvezda and 1.27 for FK Partizan, a combined total of 3.73. That distribution gives FK Crvena Zvezda the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws roughly 37% of the time.
Model pick
FK Crvena Zvezda to Win
63.2% probability
Expected goals
2.45 – 1.27
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
37%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.2%
- 3–17.5%
- 1–17.5%
- 2–07.2%
- 3–05.9%
Why the model likes this
FK Partizan away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FK Crvena Zvezda to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 18% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.45 goals for FK Crvena Zvezda and 1.27 for FK Partizan, a combined 3.73 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 72% and both teams to score at 66%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Recent form
FK Crvena Zvezda
FK Partizan
- 2026-08-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Tobol Kostanay · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-06T19:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Tobol Kostanay · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-02T18:00:00.000Z · H vs IMT Novi Beograd · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-30T18:15:00.000Z · A vs UNA Strassen · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-26T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Macva · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cukaricki | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | IMT Novi Beograd | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Železničar Pančevo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Radnik Surdulica | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 7 | OFK Beograd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 8 | FK Partizan | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Mladost Lucani | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Novi Pazar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 4 |
| 11 | Radnicki 1923 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Radnicki NIS | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Macva | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
| 14 | Zemun | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -8 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.