Gradski stadion · Analysis updated 23:54 UTC
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV vs Napredak Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV and 1.46 for Napredak, a combined total of 3.04. That distribution gives FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.
Model pick
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV or Draw
64.7% probability
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.46
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.0%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–28.0%
- 1–07.6%
- 0–17.0%
Why the model likes this
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 24% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.58 goals for FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV and 1.46 for Napredak, a combined 3.04 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 59% and both teams to score at 61%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Recent form
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
- 2026-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Teleoptik · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Metalac GM · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs OFK Bor 1919 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-05-24T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Radnicki NIS · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs IMT Novi Beograd · 0-1 (L)
Napredak
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prva Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Semendrija 1924 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Napredak | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Dubočica | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Borac Cacak | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | OFK Vršac | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Javor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | TSC Backa Topola | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Jedinstvo Ub | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Grafičar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Metalac GM | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Teleoptik | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Loznica | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Naftagas | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | FK Vozdovac | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | OFK Bor 1919 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.