· Analysis updated 01:48 UTC
FK Vozdovac vs Dubočica Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.79 expected goals for FK Vozdovac and 1.13 for Dubočica, a combined total of 1.91. That distribution gives Dubočica the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 30% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.
Model pick
Dubočica or Draw
74.6% probability
Expected goals
0.79 – 1.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
56%
Double chance 12
69%
Double chance X2
75%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–116.6%
- 0–014.7%
- 1–113.1%
- 1–011.6%
- 0–29.4%
Why the model likes this
FK Vozdovac home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 5 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dubočica to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 25% / 31% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.79 goals for FK Vozdovac and 1.13 for Dubočica, a combined 1.91 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Recent form
FK Vozdovac
- 2026-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Grafičar · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Borac Cacak · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Dubočica · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-23T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Gaziantep FK · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-17T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladost DG · 3-3 (D)
Dubočica
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · FK Vozdovac 0-1 Dubočica (Prva Liga)
- 2025-11-18T16:00:00.000Z · FK Vozdovac 3-2 Dubočica (Prva Liga)
- 2025-08-16T18:00:00.000Z · FK Vozdovac 1-1 Dubočica (Prva Liga)
- 2025-02-15T14:00:00.000Z · FK Vozdovac 1-0 Dubočica (Prva Liga)
- 2024-09-07T14:30:00.000Z · FK Vozdovac 3-0 Dubočica (Prva Liga)
Prva Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Semendrija 1924 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Napredak | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | TSC Backa Topola | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Dubočica | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Borac Cacak | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | OFK Vršac | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Javor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Jedinstvo Ub | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Grafičar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Metalac GM | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Teleoptik | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Loznica | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Naftagas | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | FK Vozdovac | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | OFK Bor 1919 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.