Serbia · Prva Liga · Regular Season - 517:00

17:00 UTC

Sunday, 23 August 2026

· Analysis updated 04:22 UTC

FK Vozdovac vs Metalac GM Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.14 expected goals for FK Vozdovac and 1.13 for Metalac GM, a combined total of 2.26. That distribution gives FK Vozdovac the largest share of the 1X2 market at 36%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 39% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 36% favourite still loses or draws roughly 64% of the time.

Model pick

FK Vozdovac or Draw

64.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.14 – 1.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

FK Vozdovac win36%
Draw29%
Metalac GM win36%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

64%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams to score46%

Correct score

  • 1–113.3%
  • 1–011.8%
  • 0–111.7%
  • 0–010.4%
  • 2–17.6%

Why the model likes this

  • FK Vozdovac home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates FK Vozdovac to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 36%, against 36% / 29% / 36% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.14 goals for FK Vozdovac and 1.13 for Metalac GM, a combined 2.26 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 39% and both teams to score at 46%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

FK Vozdovac

  • 2026-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Grafičar · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Borac Cacak · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Dubočica · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-23T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Gaziantep FK · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-17T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladost DG · 3-3 (D)

Metalac GM

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Prva Liga table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Semendrija 1924330059
    2Napredak330039
    3TSC Backa Topola321027
    4Dubočica321027
    5FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV320136
    6Borac Cacak320116
    7OFK Vršac320116
    8Javor311134
    9Jedinstvo Ub310203
    10Grafičar3102-13
    11Metalac GM3102-23
    12Teleoptik3102-43
    13Loznica3021-12
    14Naftagas3012-21
    15FK Vozdovac3003-30
    16OFK Bor 19193003-70

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.