Fleetwood Town vs Bolton Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Fleetwood Town and 1.02 for Bolton, a combined total of 2.77. That distribution gives Fleetwood Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws roughly 46% of the time.

Model pick

Fleetwood Town to Win

54.4% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.02

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Fleetwood Town win54%

Draw24%

Bolton win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

46%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%

Over 2.5 goals52%

Over 3.5 goals30%

Both teams to score53%

Correct score

1–111.2%
1–010.9%
2–19.8%
2–09.5%
0–16.4%

Why the model likes this

Fleetwood Town home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Bolton away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Fleetwood Town to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 24% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for Fleetwood Town and 1.02 for Bolton, a combined 2.77 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Fleetwood Town

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Chesterfield · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Chesterfield · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hartlepool · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-28T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Bolton · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-21T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Huddersfield · 2-1 (W)

Bolton

2026-08-15T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Preston · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sheffield Wednesday · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs NAC Breda · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-28T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Fleetwood Town · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Everton · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.