· Analysis updated 02:57 UTC
Fluminense U20 vs Cruzeiro U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.42 expected goals for Fluminense U20 and 1.69 for Cruzeiro U20, a combined total of 3.11. That distribution gives Cruzeiro U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.
Model pick
Cruzeiro U20 or Draw
67.7% probability
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.69
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
56%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.7%
- 1–29.1%
- 2–17.6%
- 0–17.6%
- 2–26.4%
Why the model likes this
Fluminense U20 home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Cruzeiro U20 away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Cruzeiro U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 32% / 24% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.42 goals for Fluminense U20 and 1.69 for Cruzeiro U20, a combined 3.11 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Fluminense U20
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Boavista U20 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Nova Iguaçu U20 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-07-01T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Botafogo U20 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-06-25T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Palmeiras U20 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-06-20T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Athletico PR U20 · 0-0 (D)
Cruzeiro U20
- 2026-08-15T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Nacional de Muriae U20 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-07T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Itabirito U20 · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-07-31T18:00:00.000Z · H vs América Mineiro U20 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-26T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Paranoa U20 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Atlético Mineiro U20 · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Brasileiro U20 A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras U20 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 44 |
| 2 | Vasco da Gama U20 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 36 |
| 3 | Botafogo U20 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 36 |
| 4 | RB Bragantino U20 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 34 |
| 5 | Athletico PR U20 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 32 |
| 6 | Santos U20 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 31 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro U20 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 29 |
| 8 | Corinthians U20 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 29 |
| 9 | Bahia U20 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 29 |
| 10 | Flamengo U20 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | -1 | 28 |
| 11 | São Paulo U20 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 25 |
| 12 | América Mineiro U20 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | Cuiabá U20 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | -8 | 21 |
| 14 | Vitória U20 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | -11 | 20 |
| 15 | Fluminense U20 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Grêmio U20 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Juventude U20 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | -19 | 18 |
| 18 | Criciuma U20 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -16 | 17 |
| 19 | Avaí U20 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -19 | 16 |
| 20 | Fortaleza U20 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | -7 | 15 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.