Gemert vs SteDoCo Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.72 expected goals for Gemert and 0.86 for SteDoCo, a combined total of 3.58. That distribution gives Gemert the largest share of the 1X2 market at 77%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 77% favourite still loses or draws roughly 24% of the time.

Model pick

Gemert to Win

76.5% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

2.72 – 0.86

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Gemert win77%

Draw14%

SteDoCo win9%

Double chance 1X

91%

Double chance 12

86%

Double chance X2

24%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals69%

Over 3.5 goals48%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

2–010.3%
3–09.4%
2–18.9%
3–18.0%
1–07.6%

Why the model likes this

SteDoCo away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gemert to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 77%, against 77% / 14% / 9% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.72 goals for Gemert and 0.86 for SteDoCo, a combined 3.58 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 69% and both teams to score at 54%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Gemert

SteDoCo

2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs EVV · 1-1 (D)
2026-06-03T18:00:00.000Z · H vs EVV · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-30T12:30:00.000Z · H vs FC 's-Gravenzande · 3-1 (W)
2026-05-27T18:00:00.000Z · A vs FC 's-Gravenzande · 1-1 (D)
2026-05-23T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Kloetinge · 1-5 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Derde Divisie - Sunday table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kloetinge	34	22	7	5	25	73
2	FC Lisse	34	20	8	6	34	68
3	Vvsb	34	21	5	8	33	68
4	Rijnvogels	34	19	7	8	24	64
5	Gemert	34	17	10	7	25	61
6	Roosendaal	34	15	9	10	13	54
7	TOGB	34	15	8	11	3	53
8	Zwaluwen	34	15	6	13	13	51
9	Blauw Geel	34	14	6	14	2	48
10	Noordwijk	34	12	8	14	5	44
11	UDI '19	34	11	6	17	-17	39
12	UNA	34	10	8	16	-8	38
13	GOES	34	10	7	17	-18	37
14	Groene Ster	34	10	6	18	-19	36
15	SteDoCo	34	10	4	20	-34	34
16	SVV Scheveningen	34	9	5	20	-16	32
17	Meerssen	34	8	7	19	-23	31
18	ASWH	34	6	7	21	-42	25

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.