Sweden · Elitettan · Regular Season - 1014:00
Göteborg WWWDDW

31

Sunday, 21 June 2026

Trelleborg WDDDLW

Gamla Ullevi · Analysis updated 02:56 UTC

Göteborg W vs Trelleborg W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.65 expected goals for Göteborg W and 1.13 for Trelleborg W, a combined total of 3.78. That distribution gives Göteborg W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws roughly 30% of the time.

Model pick

Göteborg W to Win

69.6% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.65 – 1.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Göteborg W win70%
Draw16%
Trelleborg W win14%

Double chance 1X

86%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

30%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Both teams to score63%

Correct score

  • 2–19.1%
  • 2–08.0%
  • 3–18.0%
  • 3–07.1%
  • 1–16.8%

Why the model likes this

  • Göteborg W home form

    15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Trelleborg W away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Göteborg W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 70% / 16% / 14% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.65 goals for Göteborg W and 1.13 for Trelleborg W, a combined 3.78 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Göteborg W

  • 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandviken W · 6-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Uddevalla W · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs KIF Örebro W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Umeå W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Husqvarna W · 4-4 (D)

Trelleborg W

  • 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Gamla Upsala W · 4-4 (D)
  • 2026-08-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Lunds BK W · 6-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Elfsborg W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Linköping W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-06-21T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Göteborg W · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Elitettan table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Elfsborg W1410402634
2Linköping W1410311533
3Göteborg W149412331
4KIF Örebro W1410131131
5Umeå W14635421
6Trelleborg W13634221
7Enskede W14536-218
8Örebro SK W14536-318
9Jitex W14536-418
10Husqvarna W14446-516
11Alingsås W14257-1011
12Gamla Upsala W13247-910
13Sandviken W141310-286
14Häcken II W140113-201

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.