Hungary · NB III - Southeast · Southeast - 2814:00

12

Sunday, 10 May 2026

Monori SeWLDL

id. Christián László Városi Sporttelep · Analysis updated 01:50 UTC

Gyulai Termál vs Monori Se Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.09 expected goals for Gyulai Termál and 1.02 for Monori Se, a combined total of 4.11. That distribution gives Gyulai Termál the largest share of the 1X2 market at 78%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 78% favourite still loses or draws roughly 22% of the time.

Model pick

Gyulai Termál to Win

78.2% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

3.09 – 1.02

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Gyulai Termál win78%
Draw13%
Monori Se win9%

Double chance 1X

91%

Double chance 12

87%

Double chance X2

22%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals77%
Over 3.5 goals58%
Both teams to score61%

Correct score

  • 3–18.2%
  • 3–08.1%
  • 2–18.0%
  • 2–07.9%
  • 4–16.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Monori Se away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Gyulai Termál to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 78%, against 78% / 13% / 9% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.09 goals for Gyulai Termál and 1.02 for Monori Se, a combined 4.11 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 77% and both teams to score at 61%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Recent form

Gyulai Termál

    Monori Se

    • 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Szegedi VSE · 3-2 (W)
    • 2026-08-12T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Dabas · 2-3 (L)
    • 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Csepel · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-07-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs ESMTK · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-07-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Budapest Honved · 0-6 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    NB III - Southeast table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Gyulai Termál44001412
    2III. Kerületi TUE44001012
    3Szeged-Csanád II330059
    4Szolnoki MAV FC321057
    5Dabas3201-16
    6Csepel4121-15
    7Újpest II311154
    8ESMTK311104
    9Monori Se4112-14
    10Sándorfalva4103-123
    11Vasas II202002
    12Bekescsaba 19124022-42
    13Hódmezővásárhely4022-62
    14Honvéd II2011-11
    15Szegedi VSE4013-31
    16BKV Előre3003-100

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.