Sweden · Damallsvenskan · Regular Season - 713:00
Häcken WWWWWW

20

Sunday, 24 May 2026

Nordic Wellness Arena · Referee A. Karman · Analysis updated 23:42 UTC

Häcken W vs Norrköping W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.69 expected goals for Häcken W and 0.72 for Norrköping W, a combined total of 3.41. That distribution gives Häcken W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 79%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 79% favourite still loses or draws roughly 21% of the time.

Model pick

Häcken W to Win

79.0% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

2.69 – 0.72

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Häcken W win79%
Draw14%
Norrköping W win8%

Double chance 1X

93%

Double chance 12

87%

Double chance X2

21%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Both teams to score48%

Correct score

  • 2–012.0%
  • 3–010.7%
  • 1–08.9%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 3–17.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Häcken W home form

    12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Norrköping W away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Häcken W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 79%, against 79% / 14% / 8% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.69 goals for Häcken W and 0.72 for Norrköping W, a combined 3.41 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Häcken W

  • 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Brommapojkarna W · 6-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Piteå W · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-02T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Eskilstuna United W · 6-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Uppsala W · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-06-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Rosengård W · 2-0 (W)

Norrköping W

  • 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Uppsala W · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hammarby W · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-06-24T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Vittsjö W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-06-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Växjö W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-06-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Rosengård W · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Damallsvenskan table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Häcken W1413013139
2Hammarby W1311112534
3Malmö FF W147431925
4AIK W14734124
5Eskilstuna United W14725-523
6Vittsjö W14635021
7Kristianstad W13535-318
8Piteå W13436-515
9Brommapojkarna W14509-1315
10Växjö W14428-614
11Djurgården W14428-614
12Norrköping W13265-312
13Rosengård W14248-510
14Uppsala W141310-306

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.