Hednesford Town vs Scarborough Athletic Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.73 expected goals for Hednesford Town and 1.89 for Scarborough Athletic, a combined total of 3.62. That distribution gives Scarborough Athletic the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 58% of the time.

Model pick

Scarborough Athletic or Draw

64.0% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.73 – 1.89

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Hednesford Town win36%

Draw22%

Scarborough Athletic win42%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

64%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%

Over 2.5 goals70%

Over 3.5 goals49%

Both teams to score70%

Correct score

1–18.8%
1–28.3%
2–17.6%
2–27.2%
1–35.2%

Why the model likes this

Hednesford Town home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Scarborough Athletic to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 36% / 22% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.73 goals for Hednesford Town and 1.89 for Scarborough Athletic, a combined 3.62 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 70% and both teams to score at 70%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Hednesford Town

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Scarborough Athletic · 3-4 (L)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Merthyr Town · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Boston United · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Solihull Moors · 1-2 (L)
2026-05-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Rylands · 1-1 (D)

Scarborough Athletic

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

National League - North table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Chester	2	2	0	0	3	6
2	Worksop Town	2	2	0	0	2	6
3	Macclesfield	2	2	0	0	2	6
4	South Shields	2	2	0	0	2	6
5	Oxford City	2	2	0	0	2	6
6	Hebburn Town	2	1	1	0	2	4
7	Brackley Town	2	1	1	0	1	4
8	Buxton	2	1	1	0	1	4
9	Spennymoor Town	2	1	1	0	1	4
10	Harborough Town	2	1	1	0	1	4
11	Merthyr Town	2	1	0	1	1	3
12	Spalding United	2	1	0	1	1	3
13	Darlington 1883	2	1	0	1	0	3
14	Scarborough Athletic	2	1	0	1	0	3
15	Hereford	2	1	0	1	0	3
16	Morecambe	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Southport	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	King's Lynn Town	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	AFC Telford United	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Bedford Town	2	0	0	2	-2	0
21	Chorley	2	0	0	2	-2	0
22	Marine	2	0	0	2	-2	0
23	Hednesford Town	2	0	0	2	-3	0
24	Radcliffe	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.