Herrera vs Union Cocle Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.90 expected goals for Herrera and 1.63 for Union Cocle, a combined total of 2.52. That distribution gives Union Cocle the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws roughly 46% of the time.

Model pick

Union Cocle to Win

54.4% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

0.90 – 1.63

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Herrera win21%

Draw25%

Union Cocle win54%

Double chance 1X

46%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

79%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals72%

Over 2.5 goals46%

Over 3.5 goals25%

Both teams to score48%

Correct score

0–113.0%
1–111.7%
0–210.6%
1–29.5%
0–08.0%

Why the model likes this

Union Cocle away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Union Cocle to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 21% / 25% / 54% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.90 goals for Herrera and 1.63 for Union Cocle, a combined 2.52 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 46% and both teams to score at 48%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Herrera

Union Cocle

2026-08-09T21:00:00.000Z · H vs Veraguas · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-02T21:00:00.000Z · H vs San Francisco FC · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-26T21:00:00.000Z · A vs Herrera · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-06T20:00:00.000Z · H vs UMECIT · 1-1 (D)
2026-05-02T21:00:00.000Z · H vs Herrera · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.