Jalapa vs Walter Ferretti Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Jalapa and 1.18 for Walter Ferretti, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Jalapa the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Jalapa or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Jalapa win44%

Draw26%

Walter Ferretti win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Jalapa home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Walter Ferretti away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings.

Recent form

Jalapa

2026-08-08T22:00:00.000Z · H vs H&H Export · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-30T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Estelí · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-26T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Managua · 0-3 (L)
2026-07-18T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Walter Ferretti · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-12T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Matagalpa · 3-2 (W)

Walter Ferretti

2026-08-08T01:00:00.000Z · A vs Real Estelí · 1-4 (L)
2026-08-03T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Matagalpa · 4-1 (W)
2026-07-24T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Diriangén · 1-3 (L)
2026-07-18T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Jalapa · 0-1 (L)
2026-04-29T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Jalapa · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-07-18T22:00:00.000Z · Jalapa 1-0 Walter Ferretti (Primera Division)
2026-04-29T22:00:00.000Z · Jalapa 3-0 Walter Ferretti (Primera Division)
2026-04-25T22:00:00.000Z · Jalapa 1-1 Walter Ferretti (Primera Division)
2026-02-22T00:00:00.000Z · Jalapa 0-0 Walter Ferretti (Primera Division)
2025-11-16T01:00:00.000Z · Jalapa 1-3 Walter Ferretti (Primera Division)
2025-09-13T21:00:00.000Z · Jalapa 3-0 Walter Ferretti (Primera Division)
2025-04-26T23:00:00.000Z · Jalapa 1-2 Walter Ferretti (Primera Division)
2025-02-19T21:00:00.000Z · Jalapa 0-0 Walter Ferretti (Primera Division)
2024-11-20T22:00:00.000Z · Jalapa 0-0 Walter Ferretti (Primera Division)
2024-09-21T21:00:00.000Z · Jalapa 0-1 Walter Ferretti (Primera Division)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.