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Sunday, 24 May 2026

Stadsparksvallen · Analysis updated 04:22 UTC

Jonkopings Sodra vs Angelholms FF Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for Jonkopings Sodra and 1.06 for Angelholms FF, a combined total of 2.69. That distribution gives Jonkopings Sodra the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws roughly 49% of the time.

Model pick

Jonkopings Sodra to Win

50.6% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.06

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Jonkopings Sodra win51%
Draw25%
Angelholms FF win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score53%

Correct score

  • 1–111.7%
  • 1–011.1%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 2–09.0%
  • 0–17.2%

Why the model likes this

  • Angelholms FF away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Jonkopings Sodra to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 25% / 25% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.63 goals for Jonkopings Sodra and 1.06 for Angelholms FF, a combined 2.69 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 53%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Jonkopings Sodra

    Angelholms FF

    • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Trollhättan · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Kristianstad · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · H vs AFC Malmo · 2-2 (D)
    • 2026-06-27T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Trollhättan · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-06-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Astrio · 3-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Ettan - Södra table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Trelleborg1610602236
    2Hässleholms IF179351230
    3AFC Malmo178541129
    4Atvidabergs FF168531129
    5Lund17773728
    6Rosengård16754626
    7Tvååker17746-225
    8Olympic17728-223
    9Jonkopings Sodra17647522
    10Eskilsminne16637-321
    11Trollhättan17476-719
    12Angelholms FF17386-217
    13Laholm175210-817
    14Kristianstad17458-817
    15Skövde AIK16385-1117
    16Utsikten161213-315

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.