Juve Stabia vs Monza Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.92 expected goals for Juve Stabia and 1.35 for Monza, a combined total of 2.26. That distribution gives Monza the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 39% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.

Model pick

Monza to Win

46.7% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

0.92 – 1.35

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Juve Stabia win26%

Draw28%

Monza win47%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

75%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals66%

Over 2.5 goals39%

Over 3.5 goals19%

Both teams to score44%

Correct score

0–114.0%
1–112.8%
0–010.4%
1–09.5%
0–29.4%

Why the model likes this

Juve Stabia home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Monza to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 26% / 28% / 47% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.92 goals for Juve Stabia and 1.35 for Monza, a combined 2.26 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 39% and both teams to score at 44%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.

Recent form

Juve Stabia

2026-08-06T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Cavese · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-31T15:45:00.000Z · H vs Ischia · 5-1 (W)
2026-07-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Potenza · 4-0 (W)
2026-05-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Monza · 1-2 (L)
2026-05-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Monza · 2-2 (D)

Monza

2026-08-14T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Avellino · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-07T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Padova · 3-3 (D)
2026-07-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Aris Thessalonikis · 1-3 (L)
2026-07-24T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Galatasaray · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs PRO Vercelli · 4-3 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Serie B table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Venezia	38	24	10	4	46	82
2	Frosinone	38	23	12	3	42	81
3	Monza	38	22	10	6	29	76
4	Palermo	38	20	12	6	28	72
5	Catanzaro	38	15	14	9	11	59
6	Modena	38	15	10	13	13	55
7	Juve Stabia	38	11	18	9	-1	51
8	Avellino	38	13	10	15	-12	49
9	Mantova	38	13	7	18	-12	46
10	Padova	38	12	10	16	-10	46
11	Cesena	38	12	10	16	-11	46
12	Carrarese	38	10	14	14	-5	44
13	Sampdoria	38	11	11	16	-13	44
14	Virtus Entella	38	10	12	16	-15	42
15	Empoli	38	9	14	15	-7	41
16	Sudtirol	38	8	17	13	-10	41
17	Bari	38	10	10	18	-22	40
18	Reggiana	38	9	10	19	-20	37
19	Spezia	38	8	11	19	-16	35
20	Pescara	38	7	14	17	-15	35

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.