Livyi Bereh vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Livyi Bereh and 1.18 for Viktoriya Mykolaivka, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Livyi Bereh the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Livyi Bereh or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Livyi Bereh win44%

Draw26%

Viktoriya Mykolaivka win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Livyi Bereh home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 6 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Livyi Bereh to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Livyi Bereh and 1.18 for Viktoriya Mykolaivka, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Livyi Bereh

2026-08-15T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Kryvbas KR · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-08T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Kudrivka · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-02T09:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Kharkiv · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-21T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Obolon'-Brovar · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Chernihiv · 2-1 (W)

Viktoriya Mykolaivka

Head-to-head

2026-07-14T11:00:00.000Z · Livyi Bereh 1-1 Viktoriya Mykolaivka (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-11-28T11:00:00.000Z · Livyi Bereh 3-0 Viktoriya Mykolaivka (Persha Liga)
2025-09-17T12:30:00.000Z · Livyi Bereh 0-1 Viktoriya Mykolaivka (Cup)
2025-08-15T10:00:00.000Z · Livyi Bereh 2-1 Viktoriya Mykolaivka (Persha Liga)
2023-11-25T10:00:00.000Z · Livyi Bereh 5-0 Viktoriya Mykolaivka (Persha Liga)
2023-09-23T11:30:00.000Z · Livyi Bereh 0-1 Viktoriya Mykolaivka (Persha Liga)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.