Lorient vs Rennes Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Lorient and 1.18 for Rennes, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Lorient the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Lorient or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Lorient win44%

Draw26%

Rennes win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Lorient home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Rennes away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Recent form

Lorient

2026-08-15T13:30:00.000Z · A vs SV Elversberg · 1-4 (L)
2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Angers · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-04T09:00:00.000Z · H vs UNFP · 5-1 (W)
2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Guingamp · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Nantes · 1-0 (W)

Rennes

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sunderland · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Brentford · 2-4 (L)
2026-08-08T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Brentford U21 · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-02T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Galatasaray · 3-3 (D)
2026-07-25T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Club Brugge KV · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-01-24T16:00:00.000Z · Lorient 2-0 Rennes (Ligue 1)
2025-08-24T13:00:00.000Z · Lorient 4-0 Rennes (Ligue 1)
2024-03-03T16:05:00.000Z · Lorient 2-1 Rennes (Ligue 1)
2023-10-22T11:00:00.000Z · Lorient 2-1 Rennes (Ligue 1)
2023-01-27T20:00:00.000Z · Lorient 2-1 Rennes (Ligue 1)
2022-08-07T15:05:00.000Z · Lorient 1-0 Rennes (Ligue 1)
2022-04-24T11:00:00.000Z · Lorient 0-5 Rennes (Ligue 1)
2021-12-18T20:00:00.000Z · Lorient 0-1 Rennes (Coupe de France)
2021-11-28T14:00:00.000Z · Lorient 0-2 Rennes (Ligue 1)
2021-02-03T18:00:00.000Z · Lorient 1-1 Rennes (Ligue 1)

Ligue 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Auxerre	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Angers	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Stade Brestois 29	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Lorient	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Le Havre	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Le Mans	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Lille	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Nice	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lyon	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Paris FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Paris Saint Germain	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Lens	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Rennes	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Strasbourg	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Estac Troyes	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.