Lagator Stadium · Analysis updated 02:56 UTC
Loznica vs Naftagas Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.24 expected goals for Loznica and 0.92 for Naftagas, a combined total of 2.16. That distribution gives Loznica the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.
Model pick
Loznica or Draw
72.4% probability
Expected goals
1.24 – 0.92
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–014.3%
- 1–113.2%
- 0–011.5%
- 0–110.7%
- 2–08.8%
Why the model likes this
Naftagas away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Loznica to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 29% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.24 goals for Loznica and 0.92 for Naftagas, a combined 2.16 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 37% and both teams to score at 43%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
Recent form
Loznica
Naftagas
- 2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Dubočica · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · A vs OFK Vršac · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-31T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Loznica · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-14T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Macva · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-06-06T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Sloboda DT · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prva Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Semendrija 1924 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Napredak | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | TSC Backa Topola | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Dubočica | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Borac Cacak | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | OFK Vršac | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Javor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Jedinstvo Ub | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Grafičar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Metalac GM | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Teleoptik | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Loznica | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Naftagas | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | FK Vozdovac | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | OFK Bor 1919 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.