Norway · 3. Division - Girone 4 · Regular Season - 713:00

20

Saturday, 16 May 2026

VindbjartWLWWL

· Analysis updated 01:32 UTC

Mandalskameratene vs Vindbjart Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.88 expected goals for Mandalskameratene and 2.06 for Vindbjart, a combined total of 3.94. That distribution gives Vindbjart the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.

Model pick

Vindbjart or Draw

63.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.88 – 2.06

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Mandalskameratene win36%
Draw21%
Vindbjart win43%

Double chance 1X

57%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

64%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals75%
Over 3.5 goals55%
Both teams to score74%

Correct score

  • 1–27.8%
  • 1–17.5%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 2–17.1%
  • 1–35.3%

Why the model likes this

  • Mandalskameratene home form

    13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Vindbjart away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Vindbjart to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 36% / 21% / 43% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.88 goals for Mandalskameratene and 2.06 for Vindbjart, a combined 3.94 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Mandalskameratene

  • 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Våg · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Brodd · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Viking II · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Staal Jørpeland · 8-3 (W)
  • 2026-06-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Madla · 2-2 (D)

Vindbjart

  • 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Åkra · 6-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Madla · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Odd II · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hinna · 7-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-28T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stabæk II · 2-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. Division - Girone 4 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Madla159421631
2Vindbjart169252029
3Flekkerøy16925829
4Mandalskameratene168441028
5Viking II157351824
6Varhaug15654523
7Brodd16727223
8Stabæk II15627-320
9Staal Jørpeland15546-719
10Haugesund II15537-518
11Våg165110-816
12Hinna15447-1816
13Åkra164210-2414
14Odd II15348-1413

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.